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If the animal is in the woods on one observation, then it is four times as likely to be in the woods as the meadows on the next observation. If the animal is in the meadows on one observation, then it is three times as likely to be in the meadows as the woods on the next observation.

Assume that state 1 is being in the meadows and that state 2 is being in the woods

If the animal is initially in the woods, what is the probability that it is in the woods on the next three observations?

the animal is initially in the woods, what is the probability that it is in the meadow on the next three observations?

Respuesta :

Below is the answer:

day 1: 1 
day 2: 0.6667 
day 3: 0.5111 
day 4: 0.4385 

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